Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 3.211819 3.453286 3.714032 4.018305 4.365935 4.753546 5.222467
2025-12-07 2.785906 3.097433 3.453682 3.897045 4.442626 5.104195 5.987240
2025-12-14 2.509365 2.846306 3.245288 3.762483 4.430984 5.290465 6.524706
2025-12-21 2.361245 2.723521 3.165392 3.758942 4.560982 5.650571 7.333104
2025-12-28 2.233960 2.611046 3.081998 3.733332 4.647059 5.949714 8.100333
2026-01-04 2.093914 2.470255 2.948238 3.623380 4.597125 6.037346 8.545035
2026-01-11 2.012638 2.398218 2.896913 3.617822 4.690431 6.345654 9.418280
2026-01-18 1.968009 2.369998 2.900104 3.685974 4.896420 6.857683 10.791164
2026-01-25 2.062934 2.532201 3.173344 4.169781 5.811286 8.749844 15.753719
2026-02-01 1.943211 2.393621 3.013055 3.984391 5.605615 8.567169 15.897192
2026-02-08 1.827767 2.256242 2.847882 3.780745 5.350428 8.254410 15.617676
2026-02-15 1.767086 2.192796 2.786449 3.735293 5.364516 8.477151 16.884123
2026-02-22 1.704859 2.130710 2.732628 3.712943 5.444838 8.911079 19.222156
2026-03-01 1.622915 2.037746 2.629297 3.604809 5.361619 8.992739 20.587757
2026-03-08 1.545501 1.947571 2.524898 3.486332 5.244455 8.974558 21.625840
2026-03-15 1.503388 1.906257 2.491636 3.483208 5.345900 9.488922 25.265041
2026-03-22 1.459982 1.860887 2.449292 3.460612 5.405459 9.918599 29.152809
2026-03-29 1.402340 1.792205 2.367378 3.363462 5.302772 9.906902 30.835667
2026-04-05 1.369660 1.759159 2.339364 3.358545 5.389893 10.431423 36.647698
2026-04-12 1.353432 1.749804 2.347886 3.418796 5.623141 11.451539 49.101713
2026-04-19 1.410767 1.854010 2.544749 3.844047 6.759556 16.030008 168.174636
2026-04-26 1.351031 1.775538 2.437104 3.681598 6.474414 15.356809 161.375653
2026-05-03 1.290707 1.694746 2.323298 3.502435 6.135485 14.415941 140.270197